North Carolina State at Duke

Duke is off to their usual 16-1 start, but they are getting way too much respect in this one from the oddsmakers. The fact is that the Blue Devils have only won four of their last 35 conference games by 20 points or more, so they are certainly winning, but this margin is packed with value on the side of the Wolfpack. The Wolfpack has already been on the road against some teams on the level of Duke and almost won at Florida, and lost to Clemson by just 12. This is simply an overlay on the name school, so I'll back the Wolfpack here.