This pick was released to clients on March 20, 2014 at 4:34PM ET.
img CBB

NC Central vs. Iowa State

March 21, 2014
img9:50 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Iowa State loves to go uptempo, but North Carolina Central has no shot in this game if they play a run-and-gun style. N.C. Central can play defense, tops in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference in points allowed, just 55.9 points per game, second in field goal shooting defense allowing 37.5% shooting. North Carolina Central is on a 5-1-1 run UNDER the total, plus the UNDER is 5-1-1 in the Eagles last seven neutral site games. Iowa State is not a great defensive team, but the problem for NC Central is that they rely too much on one player, 6-3 senior Jeremy Ingram (20.6 points per game). Iowa State has more than enough bodies to harass him to disrupt the NC Central offense. And Iowa State has way too many offensive options to go to in 6-6 senior Melvin Ejim (18 points per game), 6-4 senior DeAndre Kane (17 points per game, 7.3 rebounds per game, 5.8 assists per game), 6-6 junior Dustin Hogue (12 points per game, 8.6 rebounds per game), and 6-7 soph Georges Niang (15 points per game). Iowa State is sixth in nation in scoring (83 points per game), 23rd in rebounds, and tops in assists (18.5 per game). They just shot 54% against mighty Kansas and 50% against Baylor. The Cyclones are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games, 5-1 ATS on neutral courts, while NC Central is on a 2-6-1 ATS run. Play Iowa State and the UNDER.

1 unit on Iowa State -8 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 145.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
NC Central Eagles
39
36
75
Iowa State Cyclones img
45
48
93
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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