Northern Arizona at Montana State

Northern Arizona is 5-23 on the season including 1-14 on the road. When a team is that bad late in the season, you can bet you are getting value backing them as bettors flee. Montana State is marginally better, but they are just .500 on the season at home and 3-5 ATS. In their last five games they have only covered the spread once. Yet they are laying nearly double-digits here? I'm not buying it. Over the past three seasons, Montana State is just 17-30 ATS in conference games and 3-12 ATS after a game in which they allowed 60 or fewer points. In his career here, head coach Brad Huse has really under-performed late in the season, going 12-30 ATS in February games. Take Northen Arizona here.