Middle Tenn State at Denver University

Denver needs this game. They have lost back-to-back games putting them in a multi-way tie for second place in the West Division of the Sun Belt Conference. This team really struggles offensively, averaging just 63.8 per game at home. But, they have a 9-1 home mark both SU and ATS thanks to stifling defense. Despite such a low-scoring average, they are still beating opponents at home by an average of 10.5 ppg! MTSU has a relatively weak defense especially on the road where they allow opponents to hit 46.7% and score over 75 ppg. Denver feasts on such teams as they are 13-4 ATS at home over teams allowing 45%+ after 15 games. The Pioneers are 7-0 ATS this season as a home favorite. They are 8-2 ATS this season when coming off a sub 56-point performance and 11-0 ATS after scoring 65 or less in two straight games.