Missouri vs. Colorado State

It has been quite a ride for the Colorado State Rams this season as they won 25 games. It wasn't just 25 games, it was 25 games in what was to turn out to be the highest-rated conference in terms of Conference RPI. The name suggests the line here is fair, but the performance does not. This is a team that takes pride on the defensive end of the floor, holding 17 teams to 61 points or less. Missouri was 12-2 through 14 games, but struggled as the competition got better and closed at 11-7. The Tigers were limited to 62 points in each of their last three games and are not going to find a lot of room vs. the Rams' defense. The Tigers played well under the line at 7-11 ATS, while Colorado State, despite being from a mid-major, played a stronger schedule. The Tigers are getting tamed by winning teams at just 4-10 ATS in their last 14, while the Rams own a 5-1 ATS mark in their last six vs. the SEC. Both of these teams can score and defend as well. In a first round NCAA Tournament matchup, I expect the defenses to have the upperhand. Play on Colorado State and the UNDER.