Missouri State at Murray State

Missouri State is off a two-game home stand, beating Illinois-Chicago (63-59) as a 13-point favorite and losing to Southern Illinois (61-57) as chalk. Missouri State is 3-3 over the last six games losing twice as a favorite and is a poor road team (3-5). They're the second-worst offensive team in the Missouri Valley Conference (65.5 ppg), ninth in shooting (.432%), and the second-worst from the charity stripe (.625%). Missouri State is 10-25 ATS after three consecutive games where both teams scored 70 points or fewer. Murray State has a winning conference mark and is fifth in scoring (70.9 ppg) and free-throw shooting (.733%), while the defense is the second-best at defending the 3-pointer (.310%). They're 3-0 SU/ATS in their last three home contests winning by 11, 13, and 9 points. And Murray State is 32-12 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. Play Murray State.