This pick was released to clients on March 02, 2025 at 10:33AM ET.
img CBB

Missouri State at Drake

March 2, 2025
img3:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

It's the final game of the Missouri Valley Conference regular season. Drake clinched the No. 1 seed for the MVC tournament in the last game, a 65-61 win at Evansville as an 8.5-point favorite. Missouri State has outrebounded six straight opponents, combining for a +7.2 margin on the glass. They're on an 8-4 ATS run. They were last a double-digit underdog at Bradley and covered in a 69-60 final. Drake is 0-3 ATS in its last three as double-digit chalk topping Indiana State (85-81), Valparaiso (81-71 as a 14-point favorite), and Illinois State (66-62). Missouri State has won five of the last eight meetings against Drake with the teams splitting four overtime games in the last six contests. One of those was in January, a 69-62 overtime win for Drake as an 8.5-point favorite with Missouri State shooting 50% from the field and 40% (8-of-20) from long range. Missouri State won the rebounding battle and was even (26-26) in points in the paint. Play Missouri State.

1.5 units on Missouri State +14.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
Final - OT
1H
2H
F
Missouri State Bears
29
31
60
Drake Bulldogs img
29
30
68
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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