Mississippi State at Arkansas

The Arkansas Razorbacks have put together a solid NCAA Tournament resume thus far at 17-5 on the season, suffering only one blemish at home all year and that was a 14-point stinker to Ole Miss. The Razorbacks have dropped five of their last seven ATS, and may have the lofty record, but it appears to have also left them over-valued. Mississippi State has won their last two games to even their record at 11-11 and this game would go a long way to determine if they have any chance for the postseason. The Bulldogs have covered six of their last seven as a dog and have certainly fought hard in every game. They also have some wiggle room in the line here to make it a competitive game to grab their seventh cover in their last eight. Play the points on Mississippi State.