Michigan at Illinois

Michigan has split the last two games, including a 72-68 upset of No. 11 Wisconsin. Michigan is sixth in the 14-team Big 10 in scoring and fourth in 3-point shooting (.367%). Michigan is 63-39 ATS revenging a same-season loss to an opponent. Illinois is a big favorite, though they're ninth in the conference in points given up, 10th in assist-to-turnover ratio, and second to last in turnovers (-1.91). Illinois is on a 2-4 spread run, plus 6-17 ATS after failing to cover two of the last three. College basketball road teams like Michigan after a loss by 20+ points are 115-72 ATS versus teams that have scored 75+ points in three consecutive contests. Play Michigan.