Michigan at Duke

Mike Kryzewski goes for career win 900 here and he's going to get it. The question is the margin of victory. This is virtually a home game for the Dukies and they are simply a lot better than Michigan, especially given the successful return of Kyrie Irving (14 points with very little rust vs. Hampton). Duke learned to play very well without him and now that he's back, this is going to be a very tough out for any opponent. The fact is, Michigan is just 7-8 this season on the road, scoring only 61.2 points per game. That's not going to cut it against a Blue Devils' offense that averages 81 per game. Yes, Michigan has a great defense. But, Duke is 21-11 ATS the past two seasons vs. good defenses (those allowing under 65 ppg). Under Kryzewski, this team is 162-127 ATS as a double-digit favorite. I like Duke to win convincingly.