Michigan State at Duke

This should be a great game to find out how these teams stand. Duke is the favorite to cut down the nets again at the end of the season and Michigan State came into the season as the preseason #2 team. The Blue Devils haven't disappointed thus far, going 6-0 and scoring 91 ppg all while holding their opponents to just 63. At home they are winning by over 40 points per game! They can even win when not at their best as they showed last game on the road, dispatching of Oregon by 17 points despite committing 19 turnovers. Sure, they face a tougher task here, but Michigan State hasn't lived up to their expectations thus far. The Spartans lost to Connecticut a week ago and they have only covered the spread twice this season. When facing a winning team, Michigan State is just 9-18 ATS over the past two seasons. Duke is 11-2 ATS over that same span vs. teams that score 77+ points per game. The Blue Devils are also 13-5 ATS over that span as a favorite. I like Duke here.