Miami Ohio at Toledo

These teams are considerably apart in record, but when it comes to MAC play they are separated by a single game. I think that the line is more reflective in the won/lost column than the overall strength of the teams, one vs. the other. Miami, Ohio is just 7-12 on the season with a single road win to show for their season, but ventured out early to take on Virginia Tech, Dayton, Ohio State, and Northwestern - all a step up in class. Toledo is 11-8, but has lost two of their last three games, and have not won a game by more than 14 points in nine straight, and I think this one plays out a lot closer than it looks. The Rockets have been known to leave the "A" game in the locker room vs. teams under .500 where they are a dreadful 2-9 ATS in their last 11 against them. Grab the bundle and play on Miami, Ohio.