Division 1A home favorites of 3-10 points vs. second-tier conference teams are a good bet in college basketball, covering about 62% of the time. If that home team is off a big win of 10+ points, the momentum helps increase that winning percentage 68%. Louisville won by 12 last game giving them their fifth victory of the season. They are 5-0 at home averaging 85 ppg whereas UMASS gets 74 on the road. This mismatch favors Louisville in a big way.
This pick was released to clients on October 11, 2012 at 11:19PM ET.
CBB
Massachusetts at Louisville
December 13, 2006
7:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Louisville -7 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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