Marquette at Missouri

Marquette did not look great against Utah State, barely eeking out a one point win. But that game toughened them up while Missouri might as well have taken the day off vs. Cornell. The Golden Eagles get Dominic James back for this game and he should provide an emotional lift if nothing else. Versus Utah State, a normally high-powered offense uncharacteristically struggled, shooting just 36.2% from the field - nearly a full 10 percentage points below their average. The fact that they won that game anyway says a lot. Under Mike Anderson, the Tigers are just 2-9 ATS on the road coming off back-to-back double digit wins. Anderson-coached teams are also 0-7 ATS after four straight ATS wins. I like Marquette to put up a fight and keep this close, if not win. I also like the UNDER. As the intensity has picked up with conference tournament and NCAA tournament play, the scores in games with these teams has dropped. While Marquette games have averaged 147.3 all season, they've averaged just 143 over their last five games. Missouri games averaged the same 147.3 during the regular season but have dropped to 143.8 over their last five. There's a clear trend and this total looks too high. On top of that, the Tigers are 12-5 UNDER this season when facing good shooting teams (45%+ FG). Golden Eagles and the UNDER here.