Marquette at Louisville

The winner of this game progresses to the Big East semifinals to face Notre Dame or Cincinnati. Marquette is coming off two impressive wins. They beat Providence by 21 and followed that up with a come-from-behind win vs. West Virginia, winning by 6 as a 3-point dog. They have simply been playing good lately and I believe their confidence in this game helps them to at least keep the game close. Louisville went 19-2 at home this season but on the road they have been anything but great, posting a 4-6 mark. In their last seven neutral-site games, they are just 2-5 ATS. The Golden Eagles have posted a 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games when getting points. They are 13-4 ATS overall in their last 17 as an underdog. I like Marquette plus the points in this one.