It is hard for the oddsmakers and public to forget watching Siena the past couple years in the NCAA Tournament. Those teams did not lose a single game at home. Most of those players have moved on, and a homecourt that was perfect has become rather imperfect for the Saints, as they are just 7-7 here. The fact is the Saints haven't beaten anyone by more than 11 points here all season, and some soft teams have come here. Marist owns just 5 wins on the season, but they have gotten better and have covered 3 of their last 4. This is simply a huge overlay, so I'll back Marist here.
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