Marist at Niagara

When these teams met a month ago, Niagara rolled to a 16-point victory. That can lead to complacency when getting the same team at home, especially when that the team you are facing is winless on the road. Yes, Marist is awful, but 20+ points in a rematch game is just too much. The reality is that Niagara struggles against poor shooting teams like Marist as the Purple Eagles are just 2-8 ATS this season vs. teams that shoot under 43% from the field. They are also 7-14 ATS as a favorite and 3-10 ATS when coming off a win (complacency). I like Marist plus the boatload of points here.