LSU is a big dog but has 12 wins and plays tough defense. LSU was a double-digit underdog at Kentucky three games ago and lost just 74-71. They also won at Wake Forest, 72-70, as an underdog. College basketball road dogs like LSU that have lost three straight conference games are 152-92 ATS when facing a team off of an upset win as a road dog. Alabama comes home after an 84-69 win at Arkansas. They've failed to cover two of their last three as a double-digit favorite and are 6-18 ATS after scoring 80+ points, plus 18-35 ATS after five or more straight victories. And these rivals played two close ones last year, 70-67 and 80-77 - one in overtime. Play LSU.
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