This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 5:44PM ET.
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Loyola Marymount at Gonzaga

March 6, 2006
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We've banked all season going against the Zags at home. They are 16-0 straight-up at home but just 3-13 ATS in Spokane! Yes, 3-13. The public just jumps on this team at home and boosts the line. It has already happened here in a game that opened at 11.5 and has moved a half point already. The media can't stop themselves from pumping up Adam Morrison and the public eats it up. The Bulldogs are just 4-12 ATS this eason as double-digit favorite and 1-7 ATS coming off two straight home wins. Gonzaga is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games and 7-15 in their last 22. In the two prior matchups this season, Gonzaga won by 9 points on the road (where the Bulldogs are profitable to back) but only won by 12 at home, failing to cover the 17.5 point number (imagine that). Loyola is 10-5 ATS in conference games this season and I like them to cover the inflated number. Two stars on Loyola Marymount.

2 units on Loyola Marymount +12 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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