Louisville at Kentucky

Louisville is playing like a defending champ, 11th in the nation in scoring and dominant on defense. That defense along with championship experience will help in this showdown with talented (and young) Kentucky. The Cardinals are 56-27-1 ATS in their last 84 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.  Louisville ranks among the nation's best in scoring margin (No. 1, +26.2), turnover margin (No. 1, +9.4), turnovers per game (No. 4, 9.2), assist/turnover ratio (No. 7, 1.68), and total steals (No. 9, 117). One thing Kentucky doesn't do well is hit free throws, missing 14 attempt in their loss to North Carolina, 82-77. The Wildcats are 7-15-1 ATS against a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 2-5 ATS versus a team with a winning record. Play Louisville.