Louisville at Duke

Louisville is a huge underdog but on a 7-5-1 spread run. That included covering two games as dogs of +16, a 70-64 loss at Clemson, and an 80-71 straight-up win at Miami. They also covered as a +21 dog at North Carolina and as a +17.5 underdog to Texas, an 81-80 thriller. Louisville is 24-11 ATS as a double-digit road dog. Duke comes home from a three-game trek off an 83-79 loss to Wake Forest. They're ninth in the 15-team ACC from the free throw line (.730) and eighth in field goal shooting. Leading scorer and rebounder Kyle Filipowski (16.9 ppg, 8.2 rpg) has an ankle injury and is questionable. Duke is 1-10 ATS after scoring 75+ points in four consecutive contests, plus 1-8 ATS against teams that shoot 31% or less from long range. Play Louisville.