Louisiana is 4-5 in conference play. They have a five-guard lineup that protects the basketball well ranked second in the 14-team Sun Belt in turnover margin (+2.33). This is the first time all season Texas State has been a double-digit favorite and they're 5-4 in conference play. In their last home game, they were a nine-point favorite over Southern Mississippi but failed to cover in an 85-82 win. They've been short-handed with leading-scorer Mark Drone (18.3 ppg), point guards Drue Drinnon and Kaden Gumbs (11.7 ppg), and senior power forward Tyrel Morgan missing recent games. Texas State is seventh in turnover margin (-0.24) while the defense is ninth in points surrendered (72.1 per game), eighth in shooting allowed (.434), and last in 3-point defense (.363). They've failed to cover three of their last five as a favorite. Play Louisiana.
This pick was released to clients on January 30, 2025 at 12:34PM ET.
Louisiana at Texas State
January 30, 2025
1.5 units on Louisiana +12.5 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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