Long Beach State at Hawaii

Long Beach State is a long way from home, and have lost three of the last four despite playing them all at home. And they were favored in all four contests. They have a losing road record and faces a Hawaii team with a winning record overall, as well as 12-6 straight-up at home. The Warriors are home from a terrific two-game trip, winning at Cal-Irvine (62-61) as a +7 dog and at Cal-Riverside (74-69). Hawaii sits in sixth-place in the Big West standings, just one game behind the fifth-place 49ers, and the wagering value is on the hot home team to win this key conference clash. LBS has allowed 81.3 points per game on the road and over the past three seasons, the 49ers are 27-14 to the OVER when facing winning teams. Hawaii is 13-4 to the OVER since last season when facing bad defensive teams like the 49ers (teams allowing 45%+ shooting). Overall on the road the past three seasons, LBS is 28-16 to the OVER. Play Hawaii on the moneyline and take the OVER.