Long Island at North Carolina

The oddsmakers expect a shootout here with a total approaching 160, but I don't see it that way. LIU has one chance vs. North Carolina and that is to shorten the game, as this isn't the same explosive offensive North Carolina team we have seen in recent years. LIU may have the better record here, but their schedule was a joke. They play no one of significance in conference and their toughest opponent out of conference was Northwestern, a game in which they scored 65 on their way to a 16-point beating. North Carolina by far is the quickest, most athletic and talented team they will have seen all season, and it is hard to prepare for that. The Tar Heels are running 10-1 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and have played UNDER to a 29-14-1 mark in their last 34 vs. a team over .600. North Carolina covers and the total stays UNDER.