Liberty at Mississippi State

On paper this looks like an even bigger mismatch than the spread would indicate. But, Missippi State has shown signs of weakness this season. They really should be 9-0 right now with the schedule they've played instead of 7-2. And, two of their seven wins were near misses that required OT. They've been double digit favorites twice thus far this season and they lost both ATS (Arkansas 5 point win as 10 point favorites and Troy State 11 point win as 12.5 point favorites). Big double-digit underdogs that are getting outscored by >4 points per game facing a team that is outscoring opponents by 8+ points per game and off a high-scoring game (95+ points) are 22-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons. One star on Liberty