IU Indianapolis at North Dakota State

There is obviously a great distance between these teams, and the line sure is indicative of that fact. The problem in this situation is that the home team is very unlikely to deliver their "A" game vs. a vastly inferior opponent. We have seen that pan out over the last eight years as home favorites in conference games from -20 to -28 cover just 42.8% of all games. While statistically, the line may appear correct, the big favorite often delivers a lot less in this type of game. The road team has been the winner in this series at 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. The big dog hangs inside inflated number vs. disinterested home team. Play on Indiana, Purdue.