Iowa at Michigan State

The Iowa Hawkeyes are off a humiliating home loss as the Ohio State Buckeyes handed them an embarrassing 76-47 defeat. Meanwhile, the Michigan State Spartans are on a roll having won their last nine games. The Hawkeyes scored just 47 points vs. the Buckeyes, and appear to be headed for another disaster here, right? Not so fast, as teams that score less than 50 points in a loss are actually very good bets in their next game. The wake-up call has been served, line value grows on them. They are facing a team coming off nine straight wins just blows up the line beyond what is reasonable. The Spartans don't usually come with the "A" game when facing a team with a losing road record as they are 6-14-1 ATS in that situation in their last 21. The Hawkeyes have emerged from a bad home loss of 10 points or more to have go 5-0 ATS in their last five. Play on Iowa.