Indiana State at Valparaiso

Indiana State has a winning spread mark for the season (8-3-1 ATS against losing teams) and is fourth in the MVC in free throw shooting and field goal defense (.427). Indiana State is 39-20 ATS against teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per contest, plus 12-3 ATS on the road off two straight conference losses by 10+ points. Valparaiso is favored but just 3-7 straight up in the Missouri Valley Conference, ranked eighth in the 10-team conference in scoring, the second-worst in points surrendered (70.5 ppg) and field goal shooting 'D' (.453). And Valparaiso is 47-61 ATS versus teams that force 14 or fewer turnovers per contest. Play Indiana State.