Indiana State at Saint Louis

St. Louis went one and done in the A-10 Tourney, and will host Indiana State here. The Billikens can play defense, but really struggle to score and after their top two options, the shooting percentages are awful. They don't have a player averaging over three assists per game, so the offense is very individually dependant. The Sycamores came on strong midway through the season and blowout losses became much more competitive games. The result was a 9-2 ATS mark in their last 11 games. They have also gone 20-8 ATS in their last 28 on the road as well as 20-8 ATS in their last 28 as a dog. I'll go with Indiana State in this one.