This pick was released to clients on February 11, 2024 at 11:11AM ET.
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Illinois State at Valparaiso

February 11, 2023
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A pair of 10-16 teams meet. Illinois State has split its last four games, including a 72-66 victory over Southern Illinois as a +5 dog. Illinois State is sixth in the Missouri Valley Conference in 3-point shooting and No. 1 from the free-throw line (.797%). Valparaiso is the second-worst defensive team in the 11-team conference surrendering 73.4 points per game, plus ninth in field goal shooting allowed (.447%) and in 3-point defense (.343% allowed). The offense is dead-last from long range (.301%). Valparaiso has lost three in a row and coach Matt Lottich is 15-25 ATS after playing three straight as an underdog. And college basketball road teams like Illinois State off of a double-digit conference loss are 151-104 ATS in a game involving teams with 20 to 40% winning percentages. Play Illinois State as a Max Play.

2 units on Illinois State +4 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Illinois State Redbirds
38
38
76
Valparaiso Beacons img
42
39
81
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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