Illinois State at Siena

Illinois State is a dog despite more wins than Siena this season. Sienna is a .500 team with little offense at #205 in the nation in scoring while shooting 42% as a team. In seven of their last nine wins they have won by 2, 6, 2, 4, 2, and 4 points, so they don't roll over people when they win - and they lose just as much. The Saints are 0-4 ATS against the Missouri Valley conference. They face an Illinois State team that is flying high after beating Texas A&M of the SEC 62-55. They allowed 34% shooting and won the battle of the boards 41-35. Illinois State is playing well at the right time, on a 4-1 ATS run and the Redbirds are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games. Illinois State has a win over #25 Dayton (81-75) and has more than enough defense and motivation to win this game as a dog. Take Illinois State straight-up.