Illinois State at Bradley

The Illinois State Redbirds are feeling the effects of laying a very soft schedule before conference play began. False hopes were created by an 8-3 start, but since conference play has began they are a woeful 1-8 and have yet to find the win column on the road. The Bears have been equally disastrous as their season has produced nine straight losers. The good news is their home slate in conference play has been just about all the top teams and they get a winnable game here. This is also a team that has allowed 70+ in seven of their last nine and I believe they run here, as does Illinois State, each thinking they have an advantage over the other. The Redbirds are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 overall, 0-8-1 ATS after a win, with each of their last four on the road have produced an OVER and have covered just one of the last 11 at Bradley. Bradley is 12-3 to the OVER in their last 15 MVC games and I like them to get the win here on the moneyline, with the game topping the total.