Illinois at Ohio State

Many have anointed the Big-10 as the best conference in the country this year, and we have already seen a large number of upsets. This conference is all about rugged physical play and defense, and Ohio State should be digging in off four straight losses. The Buckeyes have allowed just one team, excluding overtime, to get to 70 points, and nine held to 60 or less. In their last three conference games, Illinois has seen the total score come in at below 120 points per game. Facing one of the country's best defenses tonight, I don't see this one getting to 120 either. Illinois is 9-1 to the UNDER in their last 10 on the road vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Buckeyes have turned up the "D" when following an ATS loss, and are now 5-0 to the UNDER in their last five. Play on the UNDER.