This pick was released to clients on March 14, 2023 at 6:36PM ET.
img CBB

Illinois vs. Arkansas

March 16, 2023
img4:34 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Arkansas is favored but had a losing record in the SEC (8-10). The Razorbacks also lost eight of 10 road games and head to Des Moines, Iowa. Arkansas was last in the SEC in 3-pointers made and 11th in shooting beyond the arc (31.7%). They're 20-38 ATS away from home after having lost four or five of their last six, plus 48-86 ATS away from home against teams that shoot over 45% from the field and allow less than 42% shooting. They're also 19-8 UNDER the First Half Total when facing winning teams. Illinois had a winning Big 10 record and has neutral-site victories over UCLA and Texas as an underdog each time. The Illini offense is third in the Big 10 in scoring (75.7 ppg) and second in rebounding behind senior Terrence Shannon, Jr. (17 ppg), while the defense is sixth in points surrendered and fourth in field goal shooting allowed. And neutral-court college basketball games in the first round of the NCAA tournament are 272-172 UNDER the First Half Total when it's between 65.5 to 70.5. Take Illinois + take this one UNDER the First Half Total.

1.5 units on Illinois +2 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 67 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Illinois Fighting Illini
26
37
63
Arkansas Razorbacks img
36
37
73
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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