Illinois Chicago at Butler

There is a price for success in the gambling world and that is becoming more and more evident with each Butler win, now 23-4 and winners of their last 15. This is not your typical bigtime winning team. The Bulldogs have topped the 75 point mark just four times all season and they are built to win at the defensive end. That has been their recipe for the last four years with this class. The problem is they face big numbers and can't cover them. The last 35 times they have faced a double-digit line they are 11-24 ATS and that includes 4-9 ATS this season. They are even worse as the numbers reach epic size. The Bulldogs are just 1-7 ATS trying to cover 18 or more. This one is inflated once again, and I'll back Illinois Chicago here.