Houston at Villanova

The posted total is understandable with both teams having great defenses, but this is an example where it's too low. Houston does score 75.7 points per game and Villanova averages 72.5. The Cougars shoot 46.9 percent overall and 34.5 percent from 3-point range and the Wildcats have a .437 field goal percentage and .360 from beyond the arc. In addition, Villanova enjoys a .826 percentage from the free throw line. The OVER is 7-3 in Villanova's past 10 games against teams with .600 or higher winning percentages and it figures to shoot better than the 37.3 percent it managed against Michigan on Thursday when the Wildcats went 9-for-30 on 3-point tries. Play the OVER.