Houston at Nevada Reno

Houston has beaten Nevada six of the seven times they have met. We like their chances at the upset win here to make it seven of eight. Houston has the offense to keep with the Wolfpack and should be in this game till the end. The Cougars are 12-3 the past three seasons vs. teams like Nevada that don't pressure much (those that force under 15 turnovers per game). Over the past two seasons they are 17-6 following an ATS loss. Under Tom Penders, this team is 15-5 off a loss to a conference rival. They are also 8-1 after allowing 75+ points in two straight games under Penders. Finally, Penders is 11-1 SU in games coached followinga loss by 3 or fewer points. We'll back Houston for the upset win.