This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 6:51PM ET.
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Hofstra at St. Joseph's

March 20, 2006
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

St Joe's is 7-1 ATS in last 8 overall. Last year in a similar spot they were 7 point home favorites and won by 9 points. They are now 4-1 ATS on nuetral or home floor and 7-1 ATS their last 8. St. Joe's has two injuries in Mallon who will likely play (ankle injury) and Navis who is 50-50 - also with an ankle problem. St. Joe's has the better defense and, especially at home, should be able to control the game better and keep it a lower scoring game which they prefer. They turn the ball over less and I think they will look to pressure Hofstra here. Our home team also has a deeper bench and they will use it to their advantage as they make hofstra move around a lot on both sides of the ball. Hofstra has shot 63% from FT line in their last 5 games while Joe's in that same period of time has shot just over 80%. Back to defense for a moment. St. Joe's gives up just 57.5 ppg at home while Hofstra allows 71.2 ppg away. Against common opponents this season, Hofstra allowed 71 ppg while Joe's allowed 54 ppg. Take the better defense at home in a blow out here. St. Josephs for two stars.

2 units on St. Joseph's -6 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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