This pick was released to clients on July 15, 2012 at 6:09PM ET.
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Georgia State at Clemson

December 31, 2006
img2:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Clemson is undefeated and ranked 21st. It's their second-best start ever (went 17-0 in 1986-87). But, should they be laying this many points? We think not. The numbers would dictate that this is about the right spread but we feel Clemson might take lowly Georgia State a bit too lightly and allow the weaker team to cover. All five of Clemson's ATS losses this year have come as a double-digit favorite. The four largest numbers they have laid were -16, -19, -22.5 and -26. They are 1-3 ATS in those three games. They have covered their last two games but with Purnell as coach, the Tigers are just 3-12 ATS following two straight ATS covers. Take the bushel of points here.

2 units on Georgia State +30 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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