This pick was released to clients on October 16, 2012 at 1:36PM ET.
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Georgia Southern at NC Wilmington

February 25, 2006
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

6-20 Georgia State visits 21-7 UNC Wilmington tonight. Another matchup in which the public will be overly tempted to take the winning team vs. the losing one. But 18 points, again, is too much. Wilmington won't be up for this one and could get caught sleep walking a bit. Heck, they are 11-1 SU at home - what kind of risk could lowly Georgia State pose? I mean they couldn't even beat Towson State in a rare favorite role last game. But, consider that underdogs of 10 to 19.5 pointsoff an upset loss as a favorite, playing with just one day of rest are 62-26 (71%) ATS since 1997. Georgia State plus the generous points for three stars.

3 units on Georgia Southern +18 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
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