This pick was released to clients on March 18, 2023 at 11:25AM ET.
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Furman vs. San Diego State

March 18, 2023
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Premium Pick

Furman is all about attacking on offense with four players in double-digits in scoring led by guard Mike Bothwell (17.8 ppg). Furman was tops in the Southern Conference in scoring (81.8 ppg) and comes off a 68-67 upset of Virginia, part of a 7-3 run OVER the total. The defense, though, is not good, with one of the worst transition defenses in the nation. Furman is 19-8 OVER the total in non-conference action. Furman pulled the upset over Virginia despite shooting just 39.3% and now they face another great defensive squad. And underdogs like Furman of 3.5 to 9.5 points after four or more straight wins are 31-69 ATS as a tournament seed of 13 to 16. San Diego State has a three-guard attack of its own along with a strong frontcourt in 6-9 senior Jaedon LeDee and 6-7 senior Keshad Johnson that will get plenty of high percentage chances matched up against Furman's 6-7 senior Jalen Slawson (15.8 ppg, 7.2 rpg). San Diego State was third in the Mountain West in rebounding and second in offensive rebounds. SDSU topped the second-highest scoring team in the Big West, UC Irvine, 72-69, along with an 88-54 win over Kennesaw State, the Atlantic Sun champs. Both those games sailed OVER the total. And San Diego State is 18-8 ATS after allowing 65 points or fewer in three consecutive contests, plus 20-6 ATS against teams that make 8 or more treys per game. Take San Diego State + OVER the total.

1 unit on San Diego State -5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 137 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1H
2H
F
Furman Paladins
25
27
52
San Diego State Aztecs img
39
36
75
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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