Fresno State at Wyoming

Fresno State is 7-4 ATS on the road, but just 3-9 straight-up. They keep things close but really struggle to win away from home. Wyoming has been very tough at home, going 12-2. Their offense has struggled a bit of late, but their defense has compensated. In their last five games, the Cowboys have only allowed 54.2 per game. Fresno is just 9-33 straight-up the past three seasons when facing a winning team. That includes a 5-21 mark vs. teams at .600 to .800 and a 5-22 mark vs. teams like Wyoming that hold opponents to 42% or less from the field. The Cowboys also know how to carry over defensive momentum from game to game. They are 7-1 the past two seasons after allowing 55 or less points last game (they held San Jose State to just 38 last game). This one might be close, but I really like Wyoming to notch the W. Take the Cowboys on the moneyline.