Fordham at Dayton

The Dayton Flyers have been perfect at home on the season as they have run the table here at 11-0. Nothing can create value on the otherside like an unbeaten home team playing at home, especially once we get into February and the streak is pretty substantial. February home teams that are unbeaten on their home court are 58-93 ATS to a line greater than -12. The fact is they are 148-7 straight up, so you can see how often the points come into play here (86 times). Fordham is on the other end of the spectrum as the Rams have taken the donut on the road at 0-5 on the season. Put an unbeaten home team against a winless road team, and the same situation above reduces to 31.2% winners for the home team. Looks ugly, but have seen this too many times to be fooled. Play on Fordham.