Florida State at Duke

Florida State has excellent scoring balance and rebound muscle behind 7-1 John Butler and 6-7 freshman Matthew Cleveland (10.6 ppg), off an 81-80 win over Clemson. Florida State is a big dog but already beat Duke, 79-78, with 19 offensive rebounds while forcing 15 turnovers. FSU is first in the ACC in steals (9.1 spg), third in blocked shots (4.4 bpg). The Seminoles are 43-29 ATS after having lost three of four, 82-63 ATS versus teams that outscore their opponents by 12+ points per game, plus 59-46 ATS against teams that shoot 48% from the field or better. Duke has failed to cover three straight as chalk of -9.5 or better, including the last game, a 76-74 win over Wake. Play Florida State.