Florida at UCLA

It is very difficult to pick a side in this game. After all, Florida has advanced by winning the SEC championship beating the likes of South Carolina - the winner of the NIT. This game will be an important factor in deciding this under as you will see when you continue to read. Florida also beat Villanova, Georgetown, the Cinderella George Mason who has knocked off monsters before this game and a good Wisconsin-Milaukee team. On the same token, UCLA has knocked their fare share of competition including defeating a solid Tide team, the Zags who only had lost 3 games this season, and a Memphis team who had the best offense in America. The Bruins shut that offense down and busted many office brackets. Thus, whose trend do you knock? Do you knock the Gators 5-0 ATS run or 12-1 ATS run in their last 13 non-conference games - or - do you buck the Bruins 5-0 ATS run when they are dogged by 0-6 points or their 7-2 ATS run in the last 9 games in neutral siting. Do you go against UCLA's great road underdog record? Hard to say. Instead, let's look for more of an edge. I think I've found one with the under here. Consider this: The Gators under is 6-0 in their last 6 games on neutral sites and the under is also 6-1 when the Gators are favored by 0-6 points. The Bruins are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog and the under is 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0-6.5 points. Besides the trends, there is practical knowledge that we can apply here as well. When the Gators played defensive teams such as South Carolina in the SEC championship and Georgetown, the totals for both of those games were 96 and 110 respectively. UCLA played what might be the best offensive and most explosive team in the nation in Memphis and the game totaled 95. Then, this team played LSU in the Final Four and the game totaled 104. The bottom line is, every trend points to Florida going under as they do against defensive teams and they too are a solid defensive team holding teams to under 64 ppg. Furthermore, UCLA prides itself on defense and holds teams under 59 ppg and also does not put up too many points on the offensive end. Why pick a side? Betting is about seeing where the best value is, and in this case, it is clearly on the under in this year's Men's NCAA Championship.