Florida at Kentucky

Florida has the record at 21-9, but where have the wins come from? The Gators are 18-1 vs teams with an RPI of over 100! They are 3-9 vs the top 100. The Gators are also 2-7 ATS in their last nine. With an RPI in the mid 60s, they aren't going to the NCAA Tournament, at least based on what they have done so far. Kentucky is a completely different team than the one that lost to Gardner Webb, UAB, Houston, and San Diego early in the season. They are 10-2 in their last 12, and the only two losses have come to Tennessee and Miss State, both on the road. They have a 48th ranked RPI and an 11th rated strength of schedule, and a win here puts them firmly on the bubble. They are beating everyone they are better than, and they are just simply a better team right now than the Gators, and will win here.