Fairfield at Hofstra

The Fairfield Stags may be 4-1, but the wins have come against teams that were simply much better them. When they stepped up in competition, they were beaten by 30 points and barely scored 40. Hofstra has beaten some easy teams in much of the same way as Fairfield. The one difference is that they went on the road and had a very good UConn team on the ropes by nine points in the second half. I think it shows that they have the talent level that makes them the choice here as a small-sized favorite. The Stags are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 as a dog, and the Pride have bounced back off a loss at 14-6 ATS. I'll play on Hofstra in this one.