Evansville at Indiana

Evansville is undefeated and they are scoring a lot. But, the reality is they have played a very soft schedule including games vs. Martin Method, Mercer and Anderson Indiana. Even against these cupcakes, the Aces defense has been horrible, allowing nearly 77 points per game. Indiana is getting 88 per game and is going to have no trouble scoring in this one. I also expect the Hoosier defense to clamp down on the Aces. Indiana is 22-11 ATS at home the past three seasons including 16-6 ATS as double-digit chalk. In the Tom Crean era, the Hoosiers are 24-13 ATS as a double-digit favorite. In their last 11 games vs. a team over .600, Indiana is 8-3 to the UNDER. They are also 8-3 UNDER in their last 11 home games. Take the Hoosiers and the UNDER in this one.