Duquesne at St. Bonaventure

Duquense has coverd the spread eight out of the last ten times they have met in this location. I like them to do it again. The Bonnies are just 4-7 ATS this season at home and their defense has really struggled of late. I think Duqense's offense which is really humming, can outscore the Bonnies here. St. Bonaventure is 1-9 ATS the past two seasons at home vs. teams that allow 42% or less from the field (Duqense allows just 41.3%). Duquense has covered 20 of their last 27 after a home win, scoring 85 or more. As a home favorite the past three seasons, the Bonnies are just 2-10 ATS. They are also 1-7 ATS this season after a road loss. I like the road team here.