This Duke team is winning a lot of games, but don't be fooled - it is not a vintage Duke team. They have yet to play Carolina and the road games were against Miami, Florida and North Carolina State two of this years bottom dwellers. The one that wasn't on the road, was Georgia Tech and they lost by nine points. Over the years, Duke blew teams away at home. This year they have already dropped one to Virginia Tech, an escape vs. Clemson and three other games in single digits, surpassing all of last years total. Virginia has been an up-and-coming team. They have a brand new arena and own wins already over Arizona, Gonzaga and Maryland. Duke has struggled mightily vs. very quick guard tandems. Marquette's James/McNeal combo lit them up for 42-points. Virginia Tech's Gordon/Dowdell combo dropped in 37-points. Georgia Tech's Morrow/Crittenton combo netted 30-points. Clemson at Duke got 33-points from Hamilton and Rivers. Tonight it may be the best pair yet and this time it is on the road vs. Singletary and Reynolds who both average close to 20-points a game. Virginia has not only won big vs. the top level teams at home this year, they are playing their best basketball of the season riding a four game winning streak, including a win at Clemson. They have also covered six straight. Duke will be exposed tonight again by a quick guard tandem, so don't be surprised if the losses start mounting for Duke, as they have two with Carolina, two with Maryland and have to go to Clemson. This is a dog with some bite, the Cavs get the money here.
This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 1:49PM ET.
CBB
Duke at Virginia
February 1, 2007
9:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Virginia +2 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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